Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 7.030805e-01 0.896813 1.114210 1.373494 1.671587 2.000961 2.389768
2025-08-24 4.616529e-01 0.712524 1.028589 1.443404 1.961026 2.573877 3.342313
2025-08-31 2.889309e-01 0.549557 0.919487 1.450583 2.162217 3.053650 4.224896
2025-09-07 2.003512e-01 0.466865 0.888550 1.541090 2.465559 3.673223 5.313905
2025-09-14 1.346881e-01 0.391545 0.845495 1.599317 2.721559 4.241063 6.363348
2025-09-21 8.621105e-02 0.322342 0.791355 1.625684 2.926143 4.744208 7.345371
2025-09-28 4.914159e-02 0.252442 0.714400 1.598416 3.041554 5.122916 8.169677
2025-10-05 2.969911e-02 0.211118 0.677770 1.627924 3.238268 5.618320 9.164151
2025-10-12 1.640209e-02 0.173577 0.636293 1.639268 3.401821 6.067510 10.103986
2025-10-19 6.865754e-03 0.132102 0.570055 1.591597 3.461086 6.360349 10.827584
2025-10-26 2.332592e-03 0.100954 0.515803 1.555638 3.532198 6.668325 11.576315
2025-11-02 7.029984e-04 0.082212 0.487549 1.566654 3.681342 7.097289 12.507881
2025-11-09 4.369327e-05 0.059727 0.436061 1.520616 3.729226 7.376462 13.238330
2025-11-16 6.212628e-07 0.052706 0.435694 1.590046 3.990517 8.001568 14.497996
2025-11-23 NaN 0.041164 0.409972 1.594927 4.131284 8.437742 15.485206
2025-11-30 NaN 0.038163 0.420468 1.690015 4.447198 9.165848 16.927231
2025-12-07 NaN 0.033143 0.417962 1.751278 4.700404 9.797633 18.234671
2025-12-14 NaN 0.026863 0.403600 1.778952 4.888547 10.326346 19.393948
2025-12-21 NaN 0.019022 0.370538 1.749739 4.960710 10.662652 20.262642
2025-12-28 NaN 0.015224 0.359854 1.781038 5.155221 11.207893 21.462601
2026-01-04 NaN 0.011487 0.343684 1.793055 5.309380 11.686899 22.565629
2026-01-11 NaN 0.007026 0.309252 1.742308 5.328080 11.932978 23.306601
2026-01-18 NaN 0.004153 0.280988 1.704016 5.368951 12.216208 24.108864